Doomsday Scenario Looms If Global Warming Is Not Taken Seriously
Hotter summers have led to extreme heat waves around the world that have killed tens of thousands and sparked deadly wildfires. Since 1980, the earth has experienced 19 of its 20 hottest years on record, says Don Philpott, author of Global Warming ? How Serious Is The Threat? The white paper can be downloaded free from www.isamericasafe.com
Higher temperatures have warmed the oceans giving rise to more and fiercer hurricanes and typhoons and widespread droughts on many continents. Hurricane Wilma which came ashore in October 2005 was the most powerful storm every recorded in the Atlantic and we are likely to see another above active hurricane season in 2006, he said.
Warmer ocean waters are creating bigger and more powerful hurricanes that will do more damage when they hit landfall and because of their strength, they will continue to wreak havoc much further inland than previous storms. This effect will be felt in both the northern and southern hemispheres, Philpott states.
Global temperatures have risen on average by about one degree Fahrenheit in the last 100 years although in some parts of the U.S. they have already warmed by up to 4 degrees F. The last three five-year periods have been the warmest since records began. Average temperatures in the Arctic are rising twice as fast as they are elsewhere in the world.
Melting and receding glaciers pose two very serious problems. As glaciers melt they release water which raises the ocean levels and they also allow carbon trapped in the permafrost to be released into the atmosphere.
About six gigatons of carbon are released every year as a result of human activities. Scientists estimate that about 14 percent of the earth?s carbon has been locked away in the permafrost ? an amount equivalent to several hundred gigatons.
Melting glaciers and receding ice caps have raised ocean levels by four to eight inches in the last century. Scientists estimate levels could rise by an additional 19 inches by 2100 and perhaps much more, threatening massive areas of low lying land around the world and the millions of people who live on it.
Global heating threatens our health with the elderly, young and poor particularly at risk. It threatens our ability to grow crops and store them safely. It opens the door to a fearsome spread of diseases; it threatens drinking water supplies and air quality. Our continued reliance on fossil fuels guarantees that even more greenhouse gases will be released into the atmosphere further destroying the ozone layer and contributing even more to global warming.
Global temperatures are expected to rise again between 3 and 9 degrees F over the next century. That would cause sea levels to rise and cause permanent flooding of coastal areas ? most of Florida would disappear under the sea.
The economic impact of global warming will also be massive. Hurricane Katrina ? the worst natural disaster to hit the U.S. ? caused damage of between $200 and $300 billion, displaced over one million people and cost insurers $30 billion. Few governments have the resources to recover from disasters of this magnitude especially if they become more frequent.
Apart from homes and jobs lost, there is an increasing risk that many areas will become uninsurable. Many insurance companies have stopped insuring properties in Florida because of the risks and this is likely to become a growing problem in other parts of the country.
?If all this sounds like a Doomsday scenario, you are right. We have ignored the warnings for far too long. The problems are very real and need urgent attention if we are to protect ourselves and our children and, more important, the children of our children,? said Philpott.
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